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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?

Yes6%+3.6%

Vol$288.36

Outcomes2

6%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?

Part of: Lowest temperature in NYC on October 12?

NoNo Price

94¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$288.36

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 12, 2026

in about 3 hours

Trade on Polymarket

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?

No

94¢

|

Vol

$288.36

|

Outcomes

2

Yes6.0¢

No94.0¢

Price History

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Resolves Today

October 12, 2026 • 12:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 12?

Lowest temperature in NYC on October 12?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 12, 2026

12:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.