This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moltbook shuts down by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a shutdown means Moltbook ceases operations such that its primary website is no longer publicly accessible and the platform is discontinued. An official announcement that Moltbook is closing, winding down, or discontinuing the service will qualify regardless of when the shutdown is fully implemented. Temporary outages, maintenance, cyberattacks, domain or hosting issues, paywalls, limited functionality, invite-only transitions, ownership changes, restructurings, bankruptcies, acquisitions, or migrations to a new domain will not qualify so long as the core platform remains operational in any publicly accessible form. The primary resolution source will be official statements from Moltbook; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.