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Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?

Yes69%+13.5%

Vol$2.89K

Outcomes2

69%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?

Part of: Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

YesYes Price

69¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$2.89K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 1, 2026

in 20 days

Trade on Polymarket

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?

Yes

69¢

|

Vol

$2.89K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes68.5¢

No31.5¢

Price History

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

19 Days Left

November 01, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

Moody's or S&P downgrades France by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 01, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Moody's Ratings or S&P Global Ratings publishes a rating action lowering its long-term sovereign credit rating for the Republic of France, at any point between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying downgrade by either agency is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes." A downgrade by both agencies is not required. For purposes of this market, “long-term sovereign credit rating” means any of the following: S&P Global Ratings’ long-term foreign-currency sovereign credit rating or long-term local-currency sovereign credit rating on France; or Moody’s Ratings’ long-term issuer rating or senior unsecured rating on the Government of France. A lowering of any of these qualifies. A change in outlook or CreditWatch/review status alone (for example, a move from Stable to Negative outlook, or placement on review for downgrade), an affirmation of an existing rating, a withdrawal of a rating, or a change to a short-term rating will not qualify. Only a lowering of a long-term sovereign credit rating itself will qualify. Rating actions by any agency other than Moody's Ratings and S&P Global Ratings — including Fitch Ratings, Scope Ratings and DBRS Morningstar — will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the official rating action publications of Moody's Ratings (https://ratings.moodys.com) and S&P Global Ratings (https://www.spglobal.com/ratings), together with the Agence France Trésor published ratings page (https://www.aft.gouv.fr/en/frances-credit-ratings); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.