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NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?

Yes16%+7.0%

Vol$3.70K

Outcomes2

16%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?

Part of: NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

NoNo Price

85¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$3.70K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 15, 2026

in 4 days

Trade on Polymarket

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?

No

85¢

|

Vol

$3.70K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes15.5¢

No84.5¢

Price History

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

3 Days Left

October 15, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 15, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a NATO military downs another Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM Kyiv Time. A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces. Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (CEST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the incident. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the incident, this market will resolve based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.