Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Part of: Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?NoNo Price
99¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$25.60K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 29, 2026
in 13 daysNegative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
No
99¢
|
Vol
$25.60K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes0.9¢
No99.1¢
Price History
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 29, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on January 29, 2026, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
13 Days Left
January 29, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago