This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Another US government shutdown - Fed Rate Cut - Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran - Israel strikes Iran - Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela - U.S. invades a Latin American country - US strike on Cuba - US strike on Colombia - Nicolás Maduro released from custody Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+January.pdf