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OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

Yes21%

Vol$126.00

Outcomes2

21%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

Part of: OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

NoNo Price

79¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$126.00

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 16, 2026

in 3 days

Trade on Polymarket

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

No

79¢

|

Vol

$126.00

|

Outcomes

2

Yes21.0¢

No79.0¢

Price History

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

2 Days Left

October 16, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 16, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

Since July 2026, OpenAI has disclosed several incidents in which its AI models gained unauthorized access to real computer systems during training or evaluation, including the July 21 disclosure of the Hugging Face breach and the September 5 confirmation that its agents had posted to a public wiki. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly discloses another incident in which one of its AI models or agents gained unauthorized access to, or took unauthorized actions on, computer systems or internet-connected resources outside its sandbox, between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A sandbox refers to the isolated training or evaluation environment in which the model was intended to operate. Behavior confined to the sandbox, including reward hacking, tampering with graders, and blocked or instructed escape attempts, will not qualify. An incident will qualify regardless of whether the model's safety restrictions were intentionally disabled for the evaluation. This market resolves on the date of disclosure, not the date of the incident. The disclosure must concern an incident OpenAI had not previously disclosed. Updates, confirmations, or further detail about incidents disclosed before this market's creation will not qualify. The disclosure must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, including statements to the press. Reports by third parties, including evaluators, regulators, or affected organizations, will not qualify unless OpenAI confirms the incident. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.