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OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?

Yes16%+5.0%

Vol$4.48K

Outcomes2

16%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?

Part of: OpenAI resumes training by...?

NoNo Price

85¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$4.48K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 16, 2026

in 4 days

Trade on Polymarket

OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?

OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?

No

85¢

|

Vol

$4.48K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes15.5¢

No84.5¢

Price History

OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

4 Days Left

October 16, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

OpenAI resumes training by...?

OpenAI resumes training by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 16, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models. This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Resuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run. A qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced. Statements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.