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OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

Yes79%

Vol$3.02K

Outcomes2

79%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

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OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

Part of: OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

OpenAIOpenAI Price

79¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$3.02K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2028

in about 1 year

Trade on Polymarket

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

OpenAI

79¢

|

Vol

$3.02K

|

Outcomes

2

OpenAI78.5¢

Anthropic21.5¢

Price History

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

446 Days Left

January 01, 2028 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2028

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI, or an official representative of OpenAI, announces that OpenAI has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before Anthropic does so. This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic, or an official representative of Anthropic, announces that Anthropic has solved a qualifying Millennium Prize Problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET before OpenAI does so. If neither company makes a qualifying announcement by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if both make qualifying announcements on the same calendar day, this market will resolve 50-50. A qualifying announcement by any other company does not end the race or affect resolution. The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the company, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the company's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and Anthropic and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.