Yes3%
Vol$0.00
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Part of: Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?NoNo Price
97¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$0.00
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
in almost 2 yearsProbable FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No
97¢
|
Vol
$0.00
|
Outcomes
2
Yes2.8¢
No97.3¢
Price History
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 01, 2028
5:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
642 Days Left
January 01, 2028 • 5:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago