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Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?

Yes94%+3.1%

Vol$1.56K

Outcomes2

94%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?

Part of: Russia lifts diesel export ban by...?

YesYes Price

94¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$1.56K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 31, 2026

in 19 days

Trade on Polymarket

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?

Yes

94¢

|

Vol

$1.56K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes94.3¢

No5.8¢

Price History

Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 30?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

19 Days Left

October 31, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Russia lifts diesel export ban by...?

Russia lifts diesel export ban by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 31, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

In 2026, the Government of the Russian Federation imposed a temporary ban on exports of diesel fuel by fuel producers, which has since been extended several times, most recently through October 31, 2026 (see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-30/russia-extends-diesel-export-ban-by-a-month-through-october). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of the Russian Federation issues a decree, resolution, or equivalent official action lifting, suspending, or terminating its ban on diesel fuel exports by fuel producers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The ban refers to the temporary prohibition on exports of diesel fuel by Russian fuel producers, most recently extended through October 31, 2026. A qualifying action that permits producers to export diesel fuel only to certain destinations, including the addition or expansion of exemptions for supplies under intergovernmental agreements, will qualify. Exports under exemptions already in effect at market creation will not qualify. Relief applying only to marine fuel or other gas oils, and not to diesel fuel, will not qualify. Actions affecting only separate restrictions, including restrictions on diesel exports by entities other than fuel producers or restrictions on gasoline exports, will not qualify unless they also include a qualifying action relating to the producer diesel export ban. Mere statements of intent, negotiations, or announcements that the ban may be lifted in the future will not qualify without a qualifying official action. Actions which provide partial or full relief from the ban will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must permit Russian fuel producers to export diesel fuel, in whole or in part. Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of the ban will qualify. Once a qualifying action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reinstatement of the ban. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Russian Federation.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.