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SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

Yes73%+20.0%

Vol$855.10

Outcomes2

73%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

Part of: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

UpUp Price

73¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$855.10

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 12, 2026

in about 13 hours

Trade on Polymarket

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

Up

73¢

|

Vol

$855.10

|

Outcomes

2

Up73.0¢

Down27.0¢

Price History

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Resolves Today

October 12, 2026 • 8:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 12, 2026

8:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.