BackPPOLYMARKET

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

Yes1%

Vol$8.65K

Outcomes2

1%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

Part of: U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$8.65K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jul 31, 2026

in 16 days

Trade on Polymarket

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$8.65K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.9¢

No99.1¢

Price History

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

16 Days Left

July 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

July 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only agreements that are publicly announced and acknowledged by both the U.S. and Russia will qualify. The agreement must pertain to nuclear arms control or limitation—such as a treaty, framework, or memorandum—addressing matters including (but not limited to) nuclear warheads, delivery systems, verification mechanisms, or strategic stability. An extension, amendment, or replacement of the New START treaty will qualify, provided it is publicly announced as a concluded agreement by both parties within the time frame. Exploratory discussions or stated intent to extend without a finalized agreement will not qualify. Agreements that include both the United States and Russia as named parties—whether bilateral or as part of a broader multilateral framework—will qualify, provided the agreement directly addresses nuclear arms control. The agreement does not need to be ratified or implemented for this market to resolve "Yes"; a formal announcement of a concluded agreement is sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government (e.g., the White House, State Department) and/or the Russian Federation (e.g., the Kremlin, Ministry of Foreign Affairs). However, a clear and overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.