Yes4%-4.8%
Vol$85.41K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
Part of: U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?NoNo Price
96¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$85.41K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 daysU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
No
96¢
|
Vol
$85.41K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes4.0¢
No96.0¢
Price History
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
15 Days Left
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago