
96¢
$85.41K
2
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 days
96¢
$85.41K
2
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by January 31?
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Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
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