Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?
Part of: US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?NoNo Price
53¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$3.41K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
in 2 monthsUS fertility rate up in Q3 2025?
No
53¢
|
Vol
$3.41K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes47.3¢
No52.8¢
Price History
US fertility rate up in Q3 2025?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
March 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 53.7 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q2 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q3 2025 exceeds 53.7, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q3 2025 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q3 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions. The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
73 Days Left
March 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago