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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?

Yes 5.0%

Vol$78.1K

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 5.0%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveWorld

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?

Part of: U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by...?

YesYes Price

5.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$78.1K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026?

Yes

5.0¢

Vol

$78.1K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.0¢

No95.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.0%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info