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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by...?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by...?
Vol

PM $78.8K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 45%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202745%
  2. June 30, 202723.5%
  3. December 31, 20265%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $78.8K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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