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US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?

Yes8%-1.0%

Vol$12.17K

Outcomes2

8%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?

Part of: US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

NoNo Price

92¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$12.17K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Oct 1, 2026

in 25 days

Trade on Polymarket

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?

No

92¢

|

Vol

$12.17K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes8.0¢

No92.0¢

Price History

US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

25 Days Left

October 01, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

October 01, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part. Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify. Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify. Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.