BackPPOLYMARKET

Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

Yes21%-1.0%

Vol$1.72K

Outcomes2

21%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

Part of: US Tornadoes in October 2026

NoNo Price

80¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$1.72K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 11, 2026

in about 1 month

Trade on Polymarket

Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

No

80¢

|

Vol

$1.72K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes20.5¢

No79.5¢

Price History

Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

30 Days Left

November 11, 2026 • 4:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

US Tornadoes in October 2026

US Tornadoes in October 2026

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 11, 2026

4:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series). Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count. The brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket. As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time. If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments. The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time. If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.