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Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Yes 84.0%

Vol$20.1

SnapshotNov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 84.0%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Part of: Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

YesYes Price

84.0¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$20.1

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 23, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Nov 23, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Yes

84.0¢

|

Vol

$20.1

|

Outcomes

2

Yes84.0¢

No16.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 84.0%. Snapshot Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will 175+ ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market details

Status: active
Listed close: Nov 23, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Created: Nov 14, 2026, 2:51 AM UTC
Reported volume: $20.1
Price snapshot: Nov 14, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

The listed close is not a settlement guarantee. Check the provider for current prices before trading.

Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Ship traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 16?

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 23, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from November 16, 2026 to November 22, 2026, according to IMF PortWatch, is at least the number specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The total is the sum of the daily figures for every date in the period. Daily figures are the total transit calls by container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships that IMF PortWatch publishes for each date. This market will resolve once IMF PortWatch has published data for every date in the period. Revisions made after that point will not be considered, unless subject to the data integrity clause below. If any data is still unpublished 14 calendar days after the period’s final date, this market will resolve on the most recent data published at that time. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the Transit Calls data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.

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