PPOLYMARKET

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

Yes14%-0.5%

Vol$260.91

Outcomes2

14%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

NoNo Price

86¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$260.91

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

No

86¢

|

Vol

$260.91

|

Outcomes

2

Yes14.0¢

No86.0¢

Price History

Will 3 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

128 Days Left

December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of people that leave the Trump Cabinet, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will count as an instance of someone leaving, regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If an individual who is not a cabinet member at the time of market creation assumes a listed cabinet position, their resignation/removal will subsequently be considered. However, individuals who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: Cabinet members who left the cabinet before this market’s creation will not be considered for this market’s resolution.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.