PPOLYMARKET

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes20%

Vol$33.84K

Outcomes2

20%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

NoNo Price

81¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$33.84K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 3, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

No

81¢

|

Vol

$33.84K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes19.5¢

No80.5¢

Price History

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

111 Days Left

November 03, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 03, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of whether enhanced ACA premium tax credits will be extended in 2025 (https://polymarket.com/event/enhanced-aca-premium-tax-credits-extended-in-2025?) and according to which party will win the House in 2026 (https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026?). The rules and resolution criteria are as follows: 1. Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025? Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits are set to expire at the end of 2025 if not extended by the federal government. This market will resolve according to whether a bill extending the enhanced ACA premium tax credits beyond 2025 is signed into federal law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying bill may extend the enhanced ACA premium tax credits in any form, including shorter extensions, phased-down benefits, or narrowed eligibility, as long as the bill clearly continues enhanced premium tax credits that have wider eligibility and/or lower required income contributions relative to baseline ACA premium tax credits that would otherwise apply after 2025. A bill replacing the ACA enhanced premium tax credits with an alternative form of healthcare subsidy, such as direct cash payments to a health savings account, will not qualify. If the bill is signed into law before 2026, it will qualify to resolve this market, regardless of when it takes effect. The primary source of resolution will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 2. Which party will win the House in 2026? This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.