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Will AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes1%+0.1%

Vol$1.64K

Outcomes2

1%

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Will AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Part of: Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$1.64K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Sep 20, 2026

in 15 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$1.64K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes0.5¢

No99.5¢

Price History

Will AfD win 20-23 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

14 Days Left

September 20, 2026 • 11:59 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

September 20, 2026

11:59 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election. This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system. If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.