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Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes1%

Vol$63.92K

Outcomes2

1%

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Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Part of: Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$63.92K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

May 31, 2026

3 months ago

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Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$63.92K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.1¢

No99.0¢

Price History

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

Past Due

May 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

May 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.