Yes86%+0.5%
Vol$7.74K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Part of: Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?YesYes Price
86¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$7.74K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Sep 30, 2026
in 6 monthsWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Yes
86¢
|
Vol
$7.74K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes86.0¢
No14.0¢
Price History
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
September 30, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
165 Days Left
September 30, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago