Yes61%+2.5%
Vol$2.73K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Part of: xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?YesYes Price
61¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$2.73K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
2 days agoWill any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Yes
61¢
|
Vol
$2.73K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes61.0¢
No39.0¢
Price History
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Exam?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
February 28, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Past Due
February 28, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago