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Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Yes 2.3%

Vol$88.1K

SnapshotOct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 2.3%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Part of: China Annual GDP Growth 2026

YesYes Price

2.3¢

VolTotal Volume

$88.1K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 31, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Yes

2.3¢

Vol

$88.1K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes2.3¢

No97.7¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 2.3%. Snapshot Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 31, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Resolution Info