GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

Name: China Annual GDP Growth 2026
End: 2027-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$897.38K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

Vol

$897.38K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $897.38K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $897.38K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	Poly	90%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	Poly	6%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Poly	1%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?	Poly	1%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?	Poly	1%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Poly	0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?	Poly	0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	Poly	0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?	Poly	0%
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

90%

Top Probability

$897.38K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027. The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual G

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** China Annual GDP Growth 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2027 (148 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.

The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual G

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.

The relevant figure may"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $897.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $88.1K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $67.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $75.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $45.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $81.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $222.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $80.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.8% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $87.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $65.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $54.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2027): Vol $116.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy