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Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?

Yes 27.5%

Vol$49.8

SnapshotOct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Yes 27.5%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?

Part of: Core PCE YoY - October 2026

YesYes Price

27.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$49.8

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 25, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October?

Yes

27.5¢

Vol

$49.8

Outcomes

Trade

Yes27.5¢

No72.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 27.5%. Snapshot Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Core PCE YoY be 2.8% or less in October? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 25, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending October 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for October 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on November 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

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Resolution Info