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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Core PCE YoY - October 2026

Core PCE YoY - October 2026
Vol

PM $524.51

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Events

1

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Markets

7

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is ≤2.8% at 27.5%.

Polymarket

  1. ≤2.8%27.5%
  2. 2.9%27.5%
  3. 3.3%26%
  4. 3.1%25%
  5. 3.4%+10%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $524.51

Reported volume · provider units

7

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending October 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for October 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on November 25, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure (the PCE price index excluding food and energy), not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketEconomy
Core CPI YoY - October 2026

Core CPI YoY - October 2026

PM $21.8K
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?Yes 79.5%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in October?Yes 11.7%
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?Yes 3.6%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Core PCE MoM - October 2026

Core PCE MoM - October 2026

PM $2.0K
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in October?Yes 51%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in October?Yes 33%
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in October?Yes 16%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
PPI YoY - October 2026

PPI YoY - October 2026

PM $38.6K
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?Yes 48.5%
Will PPI YoY be 6.7% in October?Yes 14.5%
Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

PM $76.8K
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Yes 88%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 3.0 and 3.4% in 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Yes 5.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Apr 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Core CPI MoM - October 2026

Core CPI MoM - October 2026

PM $14.7K
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?Yes 38%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in October?Yes 35.5%
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October?Yes 15.3%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

PM $86.2K
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Yes 57.8%
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Yes 42%
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?Yes 0.3%
+3 moreNext deadline Jan 22, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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