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Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes1%

Vol$321.21

Outcomes2

1%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Part of: Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

NoNo Price

99¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$321.21

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 1, 2026

in about 2 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

No

99¢

|

Vol

$321.21

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.4¢

No98.7¢

Price History

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

56 Days Left

November 01, 2026 • 3:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 01, 2026

3:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.