PPOLYMARKET
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
Yes0%-0.6%
Vol$205.10K
Outcomes2
Markets
MarketPOLYMARKETclosed
MarketPOLYMARKETclosedOther
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
NoNo Price
100¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$205.10K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
1 day agoWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
No
100¢
|
Vol
$205.10K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes0.0¢
No100.0¢
Price History
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Closed
Expected Resolution
February 28, 2026
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 see (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 10% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,396,126,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Past Due
February 28, 2026 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago