Yes1%-0.4%
Vol$155.24K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
Part of: Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?NoNo Price
99¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$155.24K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
in about 1 monthWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
No
99¢
|
Vol
$155.24K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes0.7¢
No99.3¢
Price History
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
February 28, 2026
12:00 PM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
In Q4 2024, government expenditures were $7,106,807,000,000 (see https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to “Yes” if federal government current expenditures decrease by 5% or more between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Any 2025 quarterly report of $6,751,467,000,000 or less will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
42 Days Left
February 28, 2026 • 12:00 PM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago