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Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

Yes 17.1%

Vol$4.4K

SnapshotOct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC

Yes 17.1%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

Part of: Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

YesYes Price

17.1¢

VolTotal Volume

$4.4K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2029, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?

Yes

17.1¢

Vol

$4.4K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes17.1¢

No83.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 17.1%. Snapshot Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2029, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info