Yes45%+2.5%
Vol$343.51K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Part of: Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?NoNo Price
56¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$343.51K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
in 16 daysWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
No
56¢
|
Vol
$343.51K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes44.5¢
No55.5¢
Price History
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
15 Days Left
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago