PPOLYMARKET
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Yes0%-0.5%
Vol$505.16K
Outcomes2
Markets
MarketPOLYMARKETclosed
MarketPOLYMARKETclosedOther
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
NoNo Price
100¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$505.16K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
29 days agoWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
No
100¢
|
Vol
$505.16K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes0.0¢
No100.0¢
Price History
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Closed
Expected Resolution
January 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
Past Due
January 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago