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Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Yes69%

Vol$866.67

Outcomes2

69%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Part of: Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

YesYes Price

69¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$866.67

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

69¢

|

Vol

$866.67

|

Outcomes

2

Yes69.0¢

No31.0¢

Price History

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

117 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA Coral Reef Watch's Bleaching Alert Area for the Main Hawaiian Islands virtual station reaches "Bleaching Alert Level 1" (or a higher alert level) on the Current Coral Bleaching Alert Level on any day within this market's timeframe (from market creation through December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Bleaching Alert Area for the Main Hawaiian Islands virtual station reaching Bleaching Alert Level 1 (or a higher alert level) on any single day within this timeframe is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market, Bleaching Alert Level 1 corresponds to a Degree Heating Week (DHW) value of 4 or greater °C-weeks at the Main Hawaiian Islands virtual station, as calculated by NOAA Coral Reef Watch from the 90th-percentile daily HotSpot values within that station's boundary. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "Bleaching Alert Area" reading on NOAA Coral Reef Watch's Main Hawaiian Islands virtual station gauge page (https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/product/vs/gauges/hawaii.php). If that page is unavailable or has not been updated, resolution will use NOAA Coral Reef Watch's own data for the Main Hawaiian Islands virtual station in any other format it publishes (for example, its regional virtual station time-series data files, available at https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/product/vs/data.php), which apply the same station-level methodology. Readings for individual 5km satellite pixels that are not aggregated to the Main Hawaiian Islands virtual station will not be used. Only NOAA Coral Reef Watch readings dated within this market's timeframe (from market creation through December 31, 2026) can trigger a "Yes" resolution. If NOAA Coral Reef Watch data covering this timeframe has not been published by January 4, 2027, this market will remain open until January 11, 2027, or until such data is published, whichever comes first. If no NOAA Coral Reef Watch data covering any day within this market's timeframe is ever published, this market will resolve to "No".

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.