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Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Yes3%-0.4%

Vol$869.67

Outcomes2

3%

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MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Part of: Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

NoNo Price

97¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$869.67

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Jan 1, 2027

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

No

97¢

|

Vol

$869.67

|

Outcomes

2

Yes2.8¢

No97.3¢

Price History

Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

117 Days Left

January 01, 2027 • 4:59 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

January 01, 2027

4:59 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.