GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Name: Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$45.89K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Vol

$45.89K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $45.89K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.89K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	50%
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	11%
Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	9%
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	8%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	6%
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	5%
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	4%
Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	3%
Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	2%
Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	1%
Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$45.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are remo

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (118 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are remo

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of an individual's resignatio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $45.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $192.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 49.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will J.D. Vance be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $550
  DATA: [Yes: 1.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $924
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Brooke Rollins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $670
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $870
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $18.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.2% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Scott Turner be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Sean Duffy be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $632
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $730
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $947
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Doug Collins be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $658
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Lee Zeldin be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $636
  DATA: [Yes: 8.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.3% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.1% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Russell T. Vought be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $478
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $549
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Jamieson Greer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $517
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $748
  DATA: [Yes: 4.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Kelly Loeffler be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $826
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics