Yes27%+4.0%
Vol$82.30K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveWorld
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Part of: Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?NoNo Price
74¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$82.30K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
in 12 monthsWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
No
74¢
|
Vol
$82.30K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes26.5¢
No73.5¢
Price History
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
December 31, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
349 Days Left
December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago