BackPPOLYMARKET

Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in October?

Yes2%

Vol$351.46

Outcomes2

2%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in October?

Part of: ISM Services PMI - October 2026

NoNo Price

98¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$351.46

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Nov 4, 2026

in 23 days

Trade on Polymarket

Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in October?

No

98¢

|

Vol

$351.46

|

Outcomes

2

Yes1.6¢

No98.4¢

Price History

Will ISM Services PMI be below 51.0 in October?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

23 Days Left

November 04, 2026 • 3:00 PM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

ISM Services PMI - October 2026

ISM Services PMI - October 2026

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

November 04, 2026

3:00 PM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for October 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business. The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for October 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on November 4, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets. Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.