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Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?

Yes 5.7%

Vol$1.6K

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

Yes 5.7%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveEconomy

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?

Part of: Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

YesYes Price

5.7¢

VolTotal Volume

$1.6K

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 17, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%?

Yes

5.7¢

Vol

$1.6K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes5.7¢

No94.3¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 5.7%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 17, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026. The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/sokuhou/sokuhou_top.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/en/sna/kouhyou/kouhyou_top.html

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Resolution Info