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Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Yes 16.0%

Vol$7.3K

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

Yes 16.0%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactivePolitics

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Part of: Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

YesYes Price

16.0¢

VolTotal Volume

$7.3K

Outcomes

Ends

Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Yes

16.0¢

Vol

$7.3K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes16.0¢

No84.0¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 16.0%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Resolution Info