PPOLYMARKET

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

Yes6%+0.5%

Vol$6.12K

Outcomes2

6%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

NoNo Price

94¢

|

VolTotal Volume

$6.12K

|

Outcomes

2

Ends

Dec 31, 2026

in 4 months

Trade on Polymarket

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

No

94¢

|

Vol

$6.12K

|

Outcomes

2

Yes5.6¢

No94.4¢

Price History

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Resolution Info

Market Stats

Resolution Countdown

130 Days Left

December 31, 2026 • 12:00 AM

Last Updated

less than a minute ago

Resolution Information

Status

Active

Expected Resolution

December 31, 2026

12:00 AM GMT+0

UMA Protocol

Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.

Accuracy

99.7%

Resolved

15,420

Avg Time

< 2 hours

Disputes

0.3%

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of who will be confirmed as the next Fed Chair and whether the Fed’s lower bound will reach 2.5% or lower (https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-fed-rate-hit-before-2027) at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Other” if an outcome not listed occurs within the specified timeframe. This market may resolve as soon as the respective conditions are met. The rules and resolution criteria are as follows: 1. Who be confirmed as the next Fed Chair? This market will resolve according to the next individual confirmed by the U.S. Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Confirmation is defined as approval by the U.S. Senate, whether by a majority vote or by unanimous consent. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 2. Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower in 2026? The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to whether the lower bound of the target federal funds rate reaches 2.5% at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. Note: If the lower bound of the target federal funds rate reaches 2.5% before a new Fed Chair is nominated, it will qualify.

Market Still Active

This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.