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Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.4%

Vol$928.9K

SnapshotOct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

Yes 0.4%

TradeTrade on Polymarket

Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveWorld

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Part of: Iran leader end of 2026?

YesYes Price

0.4¢

VolTotal Volume

$928.9K

Outcomes

Ends

Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes

0.4¢

Vol

$928.9K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.4¢

No99.7¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 0.4%. Snapshot Oct 25, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

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Resolution Info