Yes18%+0.4%
Vol$4.75K
Outcomes2
Event
MarketPOLYMARKETactive
MarketPOLYMARKETactiveOther
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?
Part of: Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by...?NoNo Price
82¢
|
VolTotal Volume
$4.75K
|
Outcomes
2
Ends
Feb 15, 2026
in 29 daysWill New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?
No
82¢
|
Vol
$4.75K
|
Outcomes
2
Yes18.3¢
No81.8¢
Price History
Will New Glenn Flight 3 launch by January 31, 2026?
No historical data available
Price history will appear here when available
Resolution Information
Status
Active
Expected Resolution
February 15, 2026
12:00 AM GMT+0
UMA Protocol
Markets are resolved using the UMA optimistic oracle system with community verification.
Learn moreAccuracy
99.7%
Resolved
15,420
Avg Time
< 2 hours
Disputes
0.3%
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Glenn Flight 3 (NG-3) successfully launches from its launch pad by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by Blue Origin (https://www.youtube.com/@blueorigin/streams), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of New Glenn with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Market Still Active
This market has not yet resolved. Resolution will occur after the specified end date based on the criteria above.
Market Stats
Resolution Countdown
29 Days Left
February 15, 2026 • 12:00 AM
Last Updated
less than a minute ago