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Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes 0.3%

Vol$4.1K

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 0.3%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Part of: #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

YesYes Price

0.3¢

VolTotal Volume

$4.1K

Outcomes

Ends

Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?

Yes

0.3¢

Vol

$4.1K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes0.3¢

No99.8¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 0.3%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

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Rules and settlement

Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Resolution Info