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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Vol

PM $74.3K

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Events

1

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Markets

21

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Anthropic at 56.5%.

Polymarket

  1. Anthropic56.5%
  2. Meta29%
  3. Google4.4%
  4. Moonshot1%
  5. OpenAI0.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $74.3K

Reported volume · provider units

21

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

PM $88.5K
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 54.1%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 31%
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 4.4%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

PM $41.2K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 49%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes 21.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

PM $21.6K
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 34.1%
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 29.5%
Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Yes 25.2%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

PM $41.8K
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 44%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 18.9%
Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 16%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

PM $30.5K
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 32.5%
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 22%
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 17.1%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

PM $87.8K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 87.1%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 5.3%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 3.7%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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