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Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes 3.5%

Vol$6.0K

SnapshotOct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Yes 3.5%

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Event

MarketPOLYMARKETactive

MarketPOLYMARKETactiveTech

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Part of: Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

YesYes Price

3.5¢

VolTotal Volume

$6.0K

Outcomes

Ends

Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Trade on Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Yes

3.5¢

Vol

$6.0K

Outcomes

Trade

Yes3.5¢

No96.5¢

Outcome

Yes quoted price: 3.5%. Snapshot Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. History may have a different observation time.

Price History

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes

No historical data available

Price history will appear here when available

Rules and settlement

Listed close: Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC. Settlement follows the provider's contract terms and may occur later.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Resolution Info