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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Vol

PM $87.8K

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Events

1

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Markets

21

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Google at 87.1%.

Polymarket

  1. Google87.1%
  2. Anthropic5.3%
  3. Meta3.7%
  4. OpenAI3.5%
  5. Moonshot0.6%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $87.8K

Reported volume · provider units

21

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

PM $38.4K
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 52%
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 33.5%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes 8.6%
+18 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

PM $7.9K
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 44.5%
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 41.5%
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 5.8%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $7.08M · K 16.78M contracts

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.8%Rules differK Yes 80.5%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.6%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 86.6%Rules differK Yes 30.6%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

83 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

PM $60.9K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 87%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 7.3%
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

PM $59.2K
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 88.7%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 1.1%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Yes 0.5%
+18 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

PM $86.6K
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 75.5%
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 22.5%
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes 2.9%
+17 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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